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Wiretap
Prediction market news, trader signal, and context around the events moving Polymarket.
Wiretap connects trader activity with the stories and catalysts behind the move.
Polymarket copy trading
Top trader guide
How to follow traders
Hot Markets
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Ivn Cepeda Castro
83¢
-2.5%
+
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
12¢
+1.0%
+
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
64¢
+5.0%
+
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
6¢
-0.5%
+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
24¢
-0.3%
+
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7¢
-1.2%
+
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
46¢
+2.0%
+
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
France
18¢
+0.4%
+
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
80¢
-6.5%
+
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Incio Lula da Silva
46¢
+1.0%
+
Starmer out by...?
December 31
72¢
-2.0%
+
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
10¢
+0.0%
+
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Vegas Golden Knights
33¢
+20.9%
+
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
44¢
+9.0%
+
UEFA Champions League Winner
PSG
57¢
-1.0%
+
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
36¢
+4.0%
+
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
81¢
+2.0%
+
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
34¢
-1.9%
+
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
73¢
-3.0%
+
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June 30
12¢
+4.0%
+
Colombia Presidential Election
Abelardo de la Espriella
55¢
+11.0%
+
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
19¢
+0.3%
+
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
June 30, 2026
2¢
+0.5%
+
NBA Playoffs: Eastern Conference Champion
New York Knicks
87¢
+19.0%
+
NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
79¢
+9.0%
+
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Ivn Cepeda Castro
83¢
-2.5%
+
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
12¢
+1.0%
+
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
64¢
+5.0%
+
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
6¢
-0.5%
+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
24¢
-0.3%
+
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7¢
-1.2%
+
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
46¢
+2.0%
+
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
France
18¢
+0.4%
+
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
80¢
-6.5%
+
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Incio Lula da Silva
46¢
+1.0%
+
Starmer out by...?
December 31
72¢
-2.0%
+
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
10¢
+0.0%
+
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Vegas Golden Knights
33¢
+20.9%
+
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
44¢
+9.0%
+
UEFA Champions League Winner
PSG
57¢
-1.0%
+
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
36¢
+4.0%
+
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
81¢
+2.0%
+
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
34¢
-1.9%
+
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
73¢
-3.0%
+
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June 30
12¢
+4.0%
+
Colombia Presidential Election
Abelardo de la Espriella
55¢
+11.0%
+
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
19¢
+0.3%
+
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
June 30, 2026
2¢
+0.5%
+
NBA Playoffs: Eastern Conference Champion
New York Knicks
87¢
+19.0%
+
NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
79¢
+9.0%
+
ANALYSIS
• CarbonCopy Team • 2 min read
Iran in Crisis, America at War — as Conflict Enters Day Three
$529 million was bet on when the bombs would fall. Now markets are pricing what comes next.
ANALYSIS
• Carboncopy Team • 4 min read
US and Iran Return to Geneva With $270 Million Riding on What Comes Next
Nearly $270 million says there is a roughly two-in-five chance the US hits Iran by spring. Negotiations start Tuesday. Iran's IRGC launched Hormuz war games hours before.
ANALYSIS
• Carboncopy Team • 4 min read
DOGE Claimed $214 Billion in Savings. Markets Price It Under $50 Billion.
A year of prediction market data shows traders never bought the efficiency revolution. They were right.
TRADING
• Carboncopy Team • 5 min read
The complete beginner's guide to copy trading
Learn how Polymarket copy trading works, why the infrastructure around it matters, and how CarbonCopy shines above the rest
More posts coming soon. Interested in writing for us? Reach out.